35% of Georgians have already voted

In 2004, 3,301,875 Georgians voted for President in the general election.

That number is going to be blown away in 2008. Not only is Georgia a battleground in the presidential race. There’s the critical Senate race between Jim Martin and the wretched Saxby Chambliss.

Atlanta Journal-Constitution reports that over 2 million voters in Georgia have already cast their ballots:

Thousands of people across metro Atlanta waited in line late Friday night to cast ballots at advance polling places. They were the last wave of a huge statewide early turnout that officials estimated at more than a third of registered voters.

Deputy Secretary of State Rob Simms said he expected that by the end of the night, 2 million of Georgia’s 5.7 million registered voters — about 35 percent —would have cast an advanced ballot.

Michael McDonald’s early voting site reports African-Americans make up 35% of early voters. In 2004, African-Americans comprised 25% of turnout. I keep going back to this post about Georgia from Nate Silver, which he wrote on October 6th. Like everything from Nate, it’s chock full of very useful information:

I would be surprised if black turnout wasn’t at least 27-28 percent, and somewhere in the 29-31 percent range is entirely possible. If those numbers are achieved, Georgia is pretty close to being a toss-up. And if it is a toss-up for Barack Obama, it is probably also a toss-up for Jim Martin, who is attempting to unseat Saxby Chambliss from the Senate.

We’re talking about Georgia — three days before election day. We’ve seen the numbers surge. It’s real. And, Obama is on the air in Georgia now.

It’s hard to take the McCain campaign’s hyperventilating spin seriously when we’re talking about Georgia.


On October 27, 2010, Joe was one of five bloggers who interviewed President Obama. Joe is a DC-based political consultant with over twenty-five years of experience at both the state and federal level. Joe has managed political operations and legislative efforts for both candidates and issues-based organizations. For seven years, he was the Director of State Legislation at Handgun Control, Inc. He served as that organization's first Political Director during the 2000 cycle. Joe is a graduate of the University of Maine School of Law. In addition, he has a Masters in Public Administration from Lehigh University and received his B.A. from the University of New Hampshire. Joe also has a fun dog, Petey, a worthy successor to Boomer, who got Joe through eight years of Bush and Cheney. Joe likes to think he is a world class athlete having finished the 2005 Chicago Marathon in the time of 4:10. He has completed six other marathons as well -- and is still determined to break the four hour mark.

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