In NH, Clinton & Obama even; McCain closing in on Romney

New polls from New Hampshire show tight races on both sides. Despite what people in NH tell pollsters, they will be swayed by what happens in Iowa. And, NH voters are notoriously fickle — so this could fluctuate wildly. And, keep in mind, unlike Iowa, where only registered party members can attend caucuses, Independents in New Hampshire can vote in either primary. That’s a wild card in NH:

In the poll, Clinton and Obama are tied at 32%-32%, with Edwards at 18%. No other candidate breaks into double digits.

Counting only those who say their vote is certain, Clinton narrowly leads Obama, 20%-18%. Edwards is backed by 10%.

In the Republican race, Romney leads McCain, 34%-27%. Including only those whose votes are set, Romney’s lead narrows to 19%-15%, within the survey’s margin of error of +/— 5 points.

Effectively tied for third place are former New York mayor Rudy Giuliani, at 11%, and former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee and Texas Rep. Ron Paul, each at 9%.

Just last month, most Granite State surveys showed Clinton and Romney with double-digit leads. Now, Clinton’s “firewall” against a possible setback in Iowa has weakened. Of eight statewide polls taken by other news organizations during the past two weeks, Clinton has led in six, Obama in two, according to

On October 27, 2010, Joe was one of five bloggers who interviewed President Obama. Joe is a DC-based political consultant with over twenty-five years of experience at both the state and federal level. Joe has managed political operations and legislative efforts for both candidates and issues-based organizations. For seven years, he was the Director of State Legislation at Handgun Control, Inc. He served as that organization's first Political Director during the 2000 cycle. Joe is a graduate of the University of Maine School of Law. In addition, he has a Masters in Public Administration from Lehigh University and received his B.A. from the University of New Hampshire. Joe also has a fun dog, Petey, a worthy successor to Boomer, who got Joe through eight years of Bush and Cheney. Joe likes to think he is a world class athlete having finished the 2005 Chicago Marathon in the time of 4:10. He has completed six other marathons as well -- and is still determined to break the four hour mark.

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