The GOP plan to steal the 2016 election

In a democratic system the cure for extremism is delivered through the ballot box. Parties that step too far away from the mainstream start to lose elections. Eventually a faction within the party decides that they would rather have power than continue to plug extreme policies that the electorate rejects, and the party moderates.

Or at least that is the theory.

There are some forms of extremism that the electorate are not willing to forgive. The long term consequence of Nixon’s ‘Southern strategy’ of courting white supporters of segregation is that more than nine out of ten black voters favor the Democrats over the party of Lincoln. The long term consequence of California Governor Pete Wilson’s Latino bashing prop 187 was to turn Ronald Reagan’s home state solid blue.

It isn’t hard to see the reason for the sudden GOP about face on immigration. After ten years of increasingly bigoted anti-Latino rhetoric, the Republican party has suddenly realized that they are alienating 16% of the US population that is turning into a solid Democratic voting bloc.

Voters can (sadly) forgive and forget the ludicrous Romney/Ryan budget for the 0.01% easily enough. It takes a lot more to erase the memory of being targeted by opportunist politicians pandering to bigots who hate you.

Latinos

Latino family via Shutterstock

The six largest states add up to 191 out of the 270 electoral college votes needed to win the White House. Only one, Texas, voted for McCain or Romney. Latinos are 38% of the population of Texas. If Texan Latinos voted in the same way that African Americans, or California Latinos, do, Texas would be a blue state. And it is not merely ‘difficult’ for a Republican to win the White House without winning Texas, it is next to impossible.

The Republican party’s born-again embrace of immigration reform is an effort by the more rational, and scared, wing of the party to save itself. The question remains as to whether Republicans have so demonized Latinos, and so turned off Latino voters in the process, that the damage done is beyond repair.

Which is how the process is supposed to work. But then there is the ultra wing of the GOP that reads the same demographic trends and sees the GOP electoral position becoming poisoned and come to a very different conclusion: The only way to win is to change the rules of the game with voter suppression schemes like Rick Scott’s scheme that caused 9 hour waits to vote in Florida. That was not enough in 2012. Which leaves rigging the electoral college so that GOP states remain winner takes all and Democratic states award most of their electoral college votes to the GOP.

The launch of immigration reform may force the GOP to put their voter suppression and vote rigging schemes back in the closet for a while. But not for very long.

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  • http://fighttherightwingnuts.blogspot.com/ mike31c

    Not the first time these gop pigs have been caught trying to cheat.

  • Tim Kane

    The Repubican party is a lot like the Titanic: it took aim at the iceberg patch betting it could get through it by force of will and good luck – now its entered the iceberg patch it finds itself moving too fast with a rudder that is too slow for a ship that is too large and heavy and can’t begin to turn quick enough to avoid calamity – only this iceberg patch is really politics of bigotry towards minorities. Like the Titanic, it is already sinking. Some have no idea of what’s going on. Some are trying to fix the problem. Some think the ship can’t sink. Some want to keep going. The smarter ones are headed for the life boats.

    The election of 2004 sunk the Republican party – it made the economic collapse of 2008 unavoidable – too much wealth had left the demand side of the economy, and without reversal of policies in 2005, demand would collapse once the easy credit ran out.

    The election of 2012 sealed the deal. There is almost no escaping it. Barring a major screw up from Democrats, the Republicans won’t have a shot at the White house before 2025 – and by then we’re a different country.

    Here’s why. Economist suggest that a normal, gradual recovery would create at least six million jobs no matter who won the 2012 election. If things go according to projections the electorate will face this information in 2016:

    Obama: 12 million private sector jobs created.

    Clinton: 23 million private sector jobs created

    Bush: 0 private sector created

    Reagan: Ancient history

    Whoever the Democratic nominee is, should win in a jog. If its Hillary, she wins in a walk. In all likelihood, she wins 2020. That leaves the rump Republican party with setting its sights on 2024. By 2024 minorities will make up nearly half the nation, as women now do.

    The Republicans think maybe the minorities will forget. To that I say, look at Hawaii. For most of Hawaii’s history wealthy conservative whites attempted to disenfranchise the descendents of Asian immigrants to Hawaii. They have never forgotten that. Hawaii is still a bastion of Democrats to this day.

    By the time 2025 comes around the nation is going to look different. So, you see, for the Republicans it is all over but the wailing and the gnashing of tooth. They are stairing existencial decline in the face. This is why they are pondering things like gerrymandering presidential politics. You don that kind of thing. Its part of the five stages of grief: denial (gerrymandering), anger (hard to tell, they are always angry), bargaining (immigration reform),Depression (coming soon to a precinct near you), acceptance (not for a long time yet, Republicans have deep pockets).

    We need to organize to speed up progressivism in order to reverse the concentration of wealth and rescue the middle, working and poorer classes.

  • arcadesproject

    OK, so the Republicans steal the election in 2016. Other than to a cadre of Democratic Party bureaucrats, does it make much difference if they do? The public could hardly be more screwed by the R’s than they have been by the D’s and at least the Republicans sound like marauding barbarians when they pull their shit while Democrats have mastered the technique of sounding like Good Guys when they do the same stuff.

  • Tim Kane

    Actually the theory of Democracy works a little differently.

    Ideology, adhered to, ALWAYS leads to nihilism – doesn’t matter if its communism, fascism or some-other-ism. The people who are forced into the nihilistic furnace first, will change their votes first, and as more people are pushed into it, more change their votes.

    Example Supply-side-ism. Economics is dominated by the law of supply and demand. If you have too much demand, you get inflationary recessions (stagflation of the 1970s). If you have too much supply you get deflationary recessions (the great depression in 1929, and the Great Recession in 2008).

    Now back in 1980s, rightwingnut ideologs of the Republican party pushed for supply side – but it did have some efficacy then because of stagflation so they were able to enlist non-ideologs in elections. Supply side bias policies should have ended by 1988. They did not. Then we hit supply side saturation in 2000 – when we had our first deflationary recession in 70 years. It did not. The extremist ideologue based Bush party pored the coals on supply side policies, and moved over $10 trillion (probably close to $15) from the demand side of our society to the 1% supply side. The economy quickly caved in. This is adherence to an ideological position past the point of rationality.

    Along the way, more and more humans (working and middle class) are being thrown into the nihilistic furnace of ruin. As a result more and more vote for change.

    Thus a democracy introduces pragmatism. Actually the fact that the Republicans have been able to sustain themselves despite so many being consumed by their policies is a wonder to behold.

    Now in addition to the failed economic and foreign policies, the wingnutized Republican party has grown only more harsher in regards to women’s rights and in regard to minorities.

  • http://www.facebook.com/hershel.parker Hershel Parker

    So the GOP (which has already gerrymandered so that they have more House seats although fewer votes than Democrats) has a new plan in which swing states will be sure to go Republican. The Republicans have not yet heard that thousands of inner city Democrats are already plotting to move into those gerrymandered districts which have only a small GOP majority. The inner city will of course stay Democratic, but little gerrymandered districts all over the swing states will go Democratic. What a sneaky plan! Those inner city Democrats! Will they REALLY like rural Michigan and Pennsylvania and Ohio and Wisconsin?

  • Badgerite

    What the GOP is trying to cover up with their new found pretend adoration of Ayn Rand and their ‘makers vs takers’ story line is that it is GOP economic policies of deregulation ( otherwise known as lawlessness ) in the financial markets, coupled with unchecked and unlimited spending on wars that, with a competent executive could have been avoided, (see Arab Spring and change brought about by something other than military conquest ) coupled with whopping and really pointless tax cuts to the wealthiest of Americans and corporate interests that brought about an absolute near collapse of not only our economic systems but the international system as well. Those tax cuts did nothing but use government power to distribute wealth upward without any attendant benefit to the rest of society and at a time when government expenditures due to the ‘War on Terror’ skyrocketed. That is where the fiscal irresponsibility lay. The Ayn Rand bullshit, coupled with the latest attempts at re-implementing Jim Crow voting restrictions in the south and implementing them in the north as well shows a party that is not only intellectually bankrupt but morally bankrupt as well. If they try to cheat their way to electoral victory then it is time to do away with the electoral college once and for all and go to a straight popular vote. And to nationalize election standards. If Bush v Gore is a template, which, of course, the Supreme Court went out of its way to say it was not, then equal protection requires that the vote of a citizen in one state carries the same weight as the vote of a citizen of another. That argues for a straight popular vote count, does it not?

  • nicho

    I’m no fan of the GOP, but I don’t think inducing voters, even by deceit, to vote for you is stealing the election. After all, Barry misled a lot of people.

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