Dems. lead in generic poll, but GOP ahead on enthusiasm

In mid-term elections, enthusiasm matters. And, the Obama administration really hasn’t done much to rally the base. Gallup’s latest polling shows Democrats are ahead in the generic ballot, which makes sense as Republicans have nothing to offer:

Democrats lead Republicans by a slight 47% to 44% margin when registered voters are asked which party’s congressional candidate they would support in their district “if the elections for Congress were being held today.”At the same time, Gallup’s inaugural weekly tracking update on the 2010 elections shows Republicans with a distinct advantage over Democrats in terms of enthusiasm about voting this year.

That enthusiasm gap, measured for the first time by Gallup in this poll, is a real problem:

There are significant differences in enthusiasm by party, with an 18-point “very enthusiastic” gap between Republicans and Republican-leaning independents on the one hand, and Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents on the other.

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If you don’t deliver for the base, the base doesn’t vote or contribute or phone bank. With all the political geniuses working at the White House and on the Hill (and with all their very high paid political consultants), you’d think someone would have figured that out.


On October 27, 2010, Joe was one of five bloggers who interviewed President Obama. Joe is a DC-based political consultant with over twenty-five years of experience at both the state and federal level. Joe has managed political operations and legislative efforts for both candidates and issues-based organizations. For seven years, he was the Director of State Legislation at Handgun Control, Inc. He served as that organization's first Political Director during the 2000 cycle. Joe is a graduate of the University of Maine School of Law. In addition, he has a Masters in Public Administration from Lehigh University and received his B.A. from the University of New Hampshire. Joe also has a fun dog, Petey, a worthy successor to Boomer, who got Joe through eight years of Bush and Cheney. Joe likes to think he is a world class athlete having finished the 2005 Chicago Marathon in the time of 4:10. He has completed six other marathons as well -- and is still determined to break the four hour mark.

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