North Dakota is back in play: “It’s a statistical tossup”

In McCain’s panicky new stump speech, The Erratic One says “My friends, we’ve got them just where we want them.” Okay. You may remember that the Obama campaign moved its operation out of North Dakota a couple weeks ago after several polls showed the state tilting to McCain. North Dakota, after all is a reliably Republican state in presidential elections. But, North Dakota is back in play according to the latest poll:

Barack Obama is shown with an edge against John McCain in a North Dakota presidential race that has narrowed to a statistical tie, according to a new Forum poll.

The survey shows Obama squeaking past McCain, 45 percent to 43 percent, a lead that falls within the poll’s margin of error and therefore indicates a dead heat, according to political analysts.

Still up for grabs: undecided voters, comprising 12 percent.

“It’s a statistical tossup,” said Jim Danielson, co-director of the Public Affairs Institute at Minnesota State University Moorhead, which conducted the statewide telephone survey for The Forum. Pollsters contacted 606 likely North Dakota voters by telephone Oct. 6-8.

McCain has Obama right where he wants him. Tied in North Dakota. This is yet another reliably Republican state that McCain can’t lock down. As noted below, he’s in North Carolina and Virginia today. Palin had to do campaign stop, an insulting brief campaign stop, in West Virginia yesterday. McCain is playing defense on what should be his turf.


On October 27, 2010, Joe was one of five bloggers who interviewed President Obama. Joe is a DC-based political consultant with over twenty-five years of experience at both the state and federal level. Joe has managed political operations and legislative efforts for both candidates and issues-based organizations. For seven years, he was the Director of State Legislation at Handgun Control, Inc. He served as that organization's first Political Director during the 2000 cycle. Joe is a graduate of the University of Maine School of Law. In addition, he has a Masters in Public Administration from Lehigh University and received his B.A. from the University of New Hampshire. Joe also has a fun dog, Petey, a worthy successor to Boomer, who got Joe through eight years of Bush and Cheney. Joe likes to think he is a world class athlete having finished the 2005 Chicago Marathon in the time of 4:10. He has completed six other marathons as well -- and is still determined to break the four hour mark.

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