McCain has to campaign in Arizona. McCain is barely ahead in the state where he has the most houses

Let’s just, for a moment, imagine the polls in Illinois showed Obama only ahead of McCain by 5 or 6 points. That would cause a frenzy in the political punditry. A frenzy. The latest poll in Illinois showed Obama leading by a 15 point margin: 55% – 40%.

McCain, on the other hand, is only ahead by 6 points: 47% – 41%. He’s not even breaking 50% and barely breaking 45%. That’s why John McCain has to campaign in his home state. Arizona is the place where McCain has most of his houses. The people who know him best don’t really like him.

Take a look at Pollster.com’s trend chart for Arizona. This is McCain’s home state and he’s barely winning. This should be a HUGE political story — it really is one of the untold stories of the 2008 election. In any statewide race, an incumbent who is stuck at 45% would be in the danger zone.

This should be a HUGE story, but too many reporters like McCain so they can’t grasp that others don’t. (And, those reporters like going to John McCain’s biggest house — the compound in Sedona with the private lake.)


On October 27, 2010, Joe was one of five bloggers who interviewed President Obama. Joe is a DC-based political consultant with over twenty-five years of experience at both the state and federal level. Joe has managed political operations and legislative efforts for both candidates and issues-based organizations. For seven years, he was the Director of State Legislation at Handgun Control, Inc. He served as that organization's first Political Director during the 2000 cycle. Joe is a graduate of the University of Maine School of Law. In addition, he has a Masters in Public Administration from Lehigh University and received his B.A. from the University of New Hampshire. Joe also has a fun dog, Petey, a worthy successor to Boomer, who got Joe through eight years of Bush and Cheney. Joe likes to think he is a world class athlete having finished the 2005 Chicago Marathon in the time of 4:10. He has completed six other marathons as well -- and is still determined to break the four hour mark.

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