This explains so much. GOP Senators are facing political extinction because of their unyielding support for George Bush and his endless war in Iraq. New polling conducted by Americans Against Escalation in Iraq tells the story. The poll was conducted like a national poll in terms of number of respondents — but it only focused on seven states. And, those would be seven states where a GOP Senator, who is facing re-election, has stuck with Bush’s “stay the course” strategy in Iraq. One other thing of note — this poll was conducted before Bush’s war czar said that it makes sense to consider reinstating the draft. That’s not going to help the pro-Iraq war Republicans.
Here’s the press release from AAEI:
A trap is waiting for Republican incumbents and presidential contenders should they continue to back Bush on the Iraq war, according to a new poll by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research. September might be their last chance to convince voters that they have truly rejected Bush’s strategy should he ask for more time based on General David Petraeus’ report on the 15th.
The poll, conducted in seven battleground states, Kentucky, Maine, Minnesota, North Carolina, New Hampshire, New Mexico and Virginia, shows an electorate tired of US troops involvement in an unwinnable Iraqi civil war and ready to vote for troop withdrawal.
“If the politicians don’t bring the troops home, the voters will bring the politicians home. Ultimately, Bush’s PR machine is no match for the news coming out of Iraq every day. Americans do not want to see their troops caught in the crossfires of a many-sided religious civil war that cannot be won by US military intervention,” said Tara McGuinness, Deputy Campaign Manager for Americans Against Escalation in Iraq.
According to the poll, incumbent Senators lose to a generic Democratic challenger 44 to 45 in states that George Bush won in 2004 by 6 points.
“Iraq is the number one issue affecting how people plan to vote,” said Anna Greenberg, Senior Vice President at Greenberg Quinlan Rosner. Of the seven incumbent Republican senators up in 2008 from the states selected for the poll, she continued: “With a collective 37 percent reelect number, every one of these Republican senators could be at grave risk.”
“Bush may say he sees progress in Iraq, but Americans aren’t buying it. The question for September is, will Republicans follow Bush off the cliff?,” said Tom Matzzie, Washington Director for MoveOn.org.
Key findings of the poll include:
§ More than four in ten voters mention the war in Iraq as their first or second most important concern.
§ Traditional GOP voters are beginning to abandon Bush on the war and several traditionally Republican groups are also pulling back from solid Bush support on Iraq.
§ Voters are concerned about the cost of an endless and unwinnable religious civil war.
Americans Against Escalation in Iraq, the organization that commissioned the poll, has active field operations opposing the war in six of the states (all but North Carolina), and will be holding town hall meetings on August 28 to urge Senators in those states to “Take a Stand” against the war.Those are some pretty scary numbers if you’re a GOP Senator facing re-election. You know the GOP campaigns are seeing the same results.